Myth 10: Europe is turning into ‘Eurabia’ while its own population is dying out.

ShareFACT: Muslim immigration in Europe currently represents a mere 3% of Europe’s total population of more than 500 million. More immigrants have arrived from non-Muslim countries than from Muslim; in France the largest immigrant group for the last two decades is from Portugal, not North Africa. The percentage of Muslims immigrants is far smaller than the percentage of immigrants to the U.S., which is 12 percent of the population. The proportion of Muslims will increase, but even if Muslim immigrants double by 2025, they still will form far less of Europe than the total immigrant share of the U.S. population today.

This is hardly an Islamic tide, as the alarmists have claimed. And the vast majority of Muslim immigrants have endured the hardships of immigration for a better life, European-style, not to spread jihad. Of greater concern is the number of ethnic minorities, including the children and grandchildren of immigrants, who remain less than fully integrated.  These minorities, like most minorities everywhere, suffer from higher rates of unemployment, poverty and discrimination.

Europe’s problem is “more Marx than Muhammad,” as one French scholar put it. Europe needs its own version of a civil rights movement that will fully integrate its minority populations. Fortunately there are signs of government action to end discrimination, with tens of billions of euros being spent on various programs and interventions. But these efforts are in their initial stages. Time will tell if they will be effective.

In terms of population decline, Germany, Italy and Spain have alarmingly low birth rates. But France, Ireland, the Scandinavian countries and Britain are holding their own, at or just below population replacement levels. Central and East European countries also have low birth rates, but those closely track with the end of communism when economic uncertainty and the collapse of child support structures caused women to postpone births; there is evidence of birth rates rebounding there.

By raising the age of retirement, allowing a reasonable rate of immigration, increasing the number of women in the labor force, and continuing its long term productivity gains, Europe should be able to cope with these demographic uncertainties and their impacts on its social systems. While there is cause for concern in some countries, it is way premature to be pronouncing the end of Europe.

– Steven Hill, guest blogger

Ed. comments:

You can see all the posts in this series here.

Steven Hill is the author of “Europe’s Promise: Why the European Way is the Best Hope in an Insecure Age” ( He’s visiting Seattle and Bellingham this week:

  • Monday March 15 at 11 a.m., interview on the Dave Ross Show, KIRO 97.3 FM
  • Monday March 15 at 7 p.m., presenting at the University of Washington Communications Building
  • Tuesday March 16 at 7:30 pm: presenting at Town Hall Seattle (tickets here)
  • Wednesday March 17, 7:00 p.m.: presenting at Village Books, Bellingham
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Posted in A Fair Deal at Work, Health Care, Retirement Security


  1. Cody Crouse says:

    Gr8 article! This is 1 of the closest articles to the truth of the European Union immigration situation. I’m sick & tired of all the mass hysteria about “mass immigration in Europe” This claim is exaggerated by a long amount & this BULLSHIT talking point has been used by the Eurosceptic parties in Europe to get into power so they can destroy the European Union so they can get away w/preaching hate speech & discrimination against any1 who isn’t a native born white heterosexual Christian. In fact Muslims make up only 1.8% – 4.4% of the population in Sweden & in the U.K, Muslims only make up about 4.8% of the total population. Thankfully, these parties only make up 23% of the current E.U Parliament term & the Eurosceptics are now starting to lose popularity now ever since the last E.U Parliament Elections in late May.of this year. In fact. the Eurosceptic parties & their rhetoric are far less popular & less accepted in their native nations than the T.E.A Party/Republican Party here in the United States. The Eurosceptic voting base will die off w/in the next 15 years & you probably start seeing it happen right now; most of the supporters of Eurosceptic parties are middle aged & old white native born folks. The younger generations in the European Union tend to support the European Union in majority #’s & they’ll be voting w/in the next few years. The Eurosceptic parties are just parties for people that want to turn their native nations into a copy of the United States &/or Russia, & middle age & old white native born Christians who don’t like change & have been so brainwashed by decades of nationalist & anti communist propaganda that they can’t change & no modern up to date info will ever change their minds whatsoever @ all.

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